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MIAMI (CBSMiami) – A new Quinnipiac poll out today raising concerns for incumbent Florida senator Bill Nelson.

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It shows him in a dead heat with his mid-term challenger, current Florida governor Rick Scott.

Both men are currently polling at 49-percent.

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92-percent of likely voters say they have already decided which candidate they’re voting for in November.

The assistant director of the Quinnipiac poll says the campaign is a prototype of our nation’s political environment, with democrat Nelson carrying women and black voters, while republican Scott is winning among men and white voters.

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The key in close elections like this one, he says, often lies with independent voters.