By Abraham Gutierrez

With their backs against the wall, the (4-6) Miami Dolphins travel to East Rutherford, New Jersey, as underdogs versus a rather vulnerable (5-5) New York Jets team. However, if statistical trends and other mathematical information proves to be correct, the final meeting between the AFC East rivals could and will likely come down to the wire.

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That’s because there’s plenty of evidence to suggest that this game will be a low-scoring affair, and thus, the visiting team will have a legitimate chance to pull off the upset. That notion is supported by point-differentials, along with combined point totals, which tell a very compelling story.

The first piece of information is the fact that they’ve combined to score under the projected point total the last five times they’ve played at MetLife Stadium. Also, suggesting that points will be at a premium is the fact that Miami and New York have scored fewer than the projected points in five of this franchise’s last six games against one another, regardless of where the games took place.

The second set of stats to consider is that the Dolphins are 5-2-1 in their last eight games played in the Big Apple. Also, the road team, which in this instance happens to be the Fins, come in with a 6-1 record in seven games. But, not everything is peaches for the Floridians in the long haul, as the Dolphins have earned a 9-24-1 record in their last 34 clashes against Gang Green.

But make no mistake about it, considering the way their first meeting of the season went, there are plenty of stats to suggest the Jets just might win by at least five points. Pro-Jets aficionados would be glad to know that Gang Green comes in with a 4-1-1 record in their last six games played against the AFC East and a 5-2-1 mark in their last eight games after allowing more than 350 total yards.

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As far as how Miami has performed, there’s a surprising air of optimism for the Dolphins. One of the reasons is because the Fins are 5-0 in their last five games played in Week 12, and that they’re 5-2 in their last seven contest after accumulating less than 250 total yards in the previous game.

Much like in the case of the Jets, there are also some problem areas for this club heading into this one. The fact that they are just 3-7 in their last 10 games after a loss is definitely a red flag. Not to mention Miami’s 2-5 record after the defense surrenders more than 150 rushing yards the week prior.

Want more reasons to stay away from Miami in this one? How about their 4-11 record in their last 15 games overall, 2-9 mark against the AFC conference, and of course, the Dolphins 1-5 performances in their last six games after scoring less than 15 points the week prior.

Dolphins vs. Jets NFL Week 12 Prediction: It’s no secret that neither one of these teams has exactly set the world on fire as of late. However, the fact that the difference in their first meeting was the outstanding play of Chris Ivory, and considering the fact that he has slowed down significantly, leads one to believe that the Dolphins are more than capable of going into MetLife Stadium and either stunning the Jets, or worst-case scenario lose by less than a field goal and a safety.

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Abe Gutierrez’s (Twitter: @GutierrezAbe) passion led him to ditch law school journey in order to launch his own publishing company. His expertise make him a valued addition to Examiner.com, AXS.com and the CBS-Sports family. Some of his work can be found on CBS-Miami (Dolphins), CBS-LosAngeles (Chargers), CBS-BayArea (Raiders), CBS-NewYork (NY Jets), CBS-TampaBay (Buccaneers), AXS.com, Examiner.com and other online publications.