DORAL (CBS4) – A large area of low pressure in the Northwestern Caribbean has become less organized Tuesday morning.

The National Hurricane Center now says it has a 20%, or low chance of developing into a tropical cyclone. The disorganized cluster of showers and storms is located about 100 miles South-Southwest of Grand Cayman. CBS4 Meteorologist Lissette Gonzalez says “an upper level low located over in the Gulf of Mexico is leading to strong wind shear creating hostile and unfavorable conditions for development of this system.”

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Regardless of development, this surface low is producing heavy rain across portions of Haiti, the Dominican Republic, Jamaica and Cuba as it moves slowly towards to the Northwest and may lead to flash floods and mudslides across these Caribbean islands.

Hurricane hunters were supposed to investigate the system Tuesday, but that flight has been canceled.

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The good news for South Florida is that the forecast models indicate the tropical moisture associated with this system will be lifting North across our area later this week and will increase our chance of some much needed rain starting on Thursday and into the weekend.

With the current drought and Lake Okeechobee level well below where it should be, South Florida will welcome the beneficial rain.

The Lake Okeechobee level is currently 9.89 feet, the normal level is 13.13 feet.

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The rainy season may finally kick into gear the second half of the work week and this weekend with storms around.

Lissette Gonzalez