Reporting Tim Kephart
Legislative Session Coverage
MIAMI (CBSMiami) – A new poll from Quinnipiac University showed a growing marriage gap between President Barack Obama and Republican Mitt Romney that is helping to give the president an overall lead in the presidential race.
According to the Q-Poll, Obama is currently leading Romney 46-43 percent in the national race, which is outside the margin of error of +/- 1.9 percent. As the Q-Poll found, Obama is benefiting from support from women and single voters.
Married voters support Romney by a 51-38 percent margin, but single voters back Obama by a 54-34 percent margin, the poll found. Among married voters, Romney leads 54-35 percent among men and 49-42 percent among women.
For single voters, Obama leads 47-38 percent among men and 60-31 percent among women.
“Although much has been made about the gender gap and how President Barack Obama’s lead among women fuels his campaign, the marriage gap is actually larger and more telling,” said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. “Overall, President Obama has a 20-point lead among single voters compared to Romney’s 13- point margin among married voters.”
Breaking the race down further, Obama and Romney led their party’s voters by nearly identical margins, but Romney had a 2 point edge among independent voters.
Men broke Republican by a 47-40 percent margin, while women went for Democrats by a 51-39 percent margin. Romney leads among white voters 51-38 percent, while Obama leads among African-American voters 92-2 percent and has a 59-30 percent lead among Hispanic voters.
Obama gets negative ratings on illegal immigration and on health care, but Romney doesn’t get any traction on those negative ratings as the Q-poll found voters didn’t think he would do much better.
If Obama is able to capture the female vote and the Hispanic vote by the margin he currently has; it’s going to be nearly impossible for Romney to knock the president off in November. But, November is a long way from now and anything can happen in the interim.