Reporting Tim Kephart
Legislative Session Coverage
MIAMI (CBSMiami) – One day after a Quinnipiac University poll showed Mitt Romney leading in the Sunshine State; a new NBC/Wall Street Journal poll found President Barack Obama leading in Florida by five points, outside the margin of error.
According to the NBC/WSJ poll, President Obama led among registered voters by a 45 to 40 percent margin and among registered voters leaning towards a candidate by a 48-44 percent margin. Still, there’s 14 percent undecided that will swing the election behind one candidate or the other.
Romney hasn’t named his vice-presidential candidate yet, but the only potential VP choice that could help would be Jeb Bush, according to the poll. With Bush on the ticket, Obama led by just two points, inside the margin of error. If Marco Rubio is the VP selection, Obama leads by four points.
Overall, the NBC/WSJ poll found that 48 percent of Florida’s registered voters approved of Obama’s job performance, while 45 percent disapproved.
The poll also found good news for Democratic Senator Bill Nelson. According to the poll, Senator Nelson leads his Republican challenger, Representative Connie Mack IV, by five points. But, 19 percent were undecided, meaning the race is very much in doubt for either candidate.
One key finding of the poll that could explain Obama’s lead was that by a 56-37 percent margin, Floridians believed the current economic conditions were mostly inherited by the President and not a result of his own policies.
If Romney and Republicans can get Americans to forget where the economy was in Obama’s first two months in office, then they will likely win the economic argument. But so far, that message isn’t resonating with Floridians, according to the poll.